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Are Gold and Silver Prices Going Down?

Author: Ian Davis - Bullion Manager

Published: 19 Nov 2018

Last Updated: 10 Jun 2020


Is Gold Going down in Price?

Is the Silver Spot Price Going down?

We are asked this almost every day and also whether prices will be going up. Strangely as it may seem, we can't tell you the answer. Let's explain...

Everyone seems to assume that, if the price of a particular share or commodity (such as gold) has gone down in the immediate past, that it is going down. Whereas, all that can be stated with absolute certainty is that it has gone down, or been going down. To be able to state that it is going down would require prescience. You may think it is rather pedantic of us to point this out, but many things which appear obvious are slightly less so if you make the effort to think them through clearly. The point we are making here is more about the clear and logical use of the English language than about the price of gold.

Are Gold and Silver Prices Going Down?

We can't predict the future. So, we don't know whether gold will be higher or lower than now, at any particular time in the future. In actual fact, we believe gold will tend to increase in price over the long term, but we try to be conservative and honest in our advice.

Many people seem to buy gold only when it appears to them to be increasing in price, and often only when they see favourable press comment. Most of the time it would actually be more sensible to buy after gold had just gone down in price. Clearly, this risks missing the boat if the price just continues to go up, but in gold as in most markets there are continual price fluctuations in both directions even when there is a strong trend in one direction.

Strangely enough, we tend to see favourable financial press comment about gold while it has been going up, and unfavourable comment when it has been going down.

If you found this page because you wanted to see advice about buying or selling gold, we would give you the following simple advice. Buy while gold is cheap, sell when it is dear. If you follow this advice coupled with the logic above, you will see that it is better to buy after gold has gone down or appears to be going down. Likewise, if you are thinking of selling gold, you should sell when gold has gone up, or appears to be going up.

Further Reading

We hope this page has been useful. You may wish to see some of the other advice and information pages on our website:

You may wish to view all of our articles on our gold guide.

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